Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.552452 1.626451 1.702555 1.786815 1.877656 1.972825 2.080299
2026-01-11 1.437135 1.545378 1.661297 1.795266 1.946583 2.113095 2.311424
2026-01-18 1.359378 1.492575 1.639977 1.816537 2.024086 2.262629 2.560969
2026-01-25 1.279074 1.427470 1.595999 1.803781 2.056232 2.357297 2.750275
2026-02-01 1.202488 1.359447 1.541435 1.771148 2.058002 2.410993 2.889257
2026-02-08 1.122963 1.282113 1.469601 1.710631 2.018219 2.406416 2.948803
2026-02-15 1.069349 1.232307 1.427201 1.682199 2.014564 2.444662 3.064559
2026-02-22 1.031261 1.198971 1.402468 1.673293 2.033679 2.511820 3.223091
2026-03-01 0.990475 1.160031 1.368260 1.649388 2.030154 2.546364 3.335995
2026-03-08 0.935989 1.101546 1.306495 1.585862 1.968788 2.495641 3.317305
2026-03-15 0.910966 1.079293 1.289989 1.581059 1.986789 2.556868 3.471188
2026-03-22 0.899572 1.073794 1.294596 1.604291 2.044383 2.678047 3.728679
2026-03-29 0.867384 1.042009 1.265695 1.583585 2.043016 2.719062 3.874273
2026-04-05 0.847650 1.026005 1.257373 1.591390 2.084098 2.828741 4.150276
2026-04-12 0.832842 1.015881 1.256429 1.609416 2.141432 2.968821 4.499591
2026-04-19 0.809075 0.992760 1.236591 1.598985 2.154538 3.038606 4.731164
2026-04-26 0.781313 0.963187 1.206540 1.571916 2.139754 3.060457 4.874042
2026-05-03 0.747554 0.924350 1.162124 1.521486 2.084996 3.010055 4.867324
2026-05-10 0.724476 0.899447 1.136400 1.497734 2.071288 3.028996 5.003720
2026-05-17 0.707965 0.883046 1.122042 1.490288 2.083207 3.093380 5.244218
2026-05-24 0.688509 0.861933 1.100165 1.470269 2.073033 3.116888 5.399172
2026-05-31 0.659862 0.827239 1.057722 1.416936 2.004573 3.028770 5.291761
2026-06-07 0.647411 0.814970 1.047343 1.412896 2.018784 3.095012 5.549284